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The Claims Ledger · Free for the next 19 days. $19 after that.

What 50 AI leaders promised in 2026. What actually shipped.

150 dated, named claims from Altman, Amodei, Huang, Musk, and 46 others, scored confirmed, refuted, pending, or unfalsifiable against what the record actually shows. 16 chapters, each with a tool you can use the same day. Free during launch, no card required.

16 chapters, a scored ledger of ~150 claims from 50 named people
A four-category test you can run on the next AI claim in your inbox
Checklists, scorecards, and reference tables in every chapter, not just prose
PDF and EPUB, yours to keep
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The Claims Ledger: what actually shipped.
PDF · Free during launch
50 named AI leaders covered
~150 dated claims scored
16 chapters, each with a usable tool
108 pages
What's inside

Not a summary. A ledger.

Every chapter follows the same rule: state the claim, trace the source, show what actually happened, then hand you a tool.

The four-category test.

Confirmed, refuted, pending, or unfalsifiable. Chapter 1 teaches the method, Chapter 8 turns it into a worked framework you can run on the next AI claim in your inbox.

Named disagreements, both sides stated fairly.

Huang says AI job losses are "complete nonsense." Amodei says up to half of entry-level white-collar jobs could go. Both have a financial stake in the answer. The book shows you why that matters more than who sounds more confident.

A tool in every chapter.

A pledge audit, a launch-announcement checklist, an interview credibility scorecard, a consumer-harm tracker. Built to screenshot, print, or paste into a document the same day you read it.

Before you download

Is it really free?
Yes, for a limited launch window. Enter your email to receive the PDF link. After the window closes it becomes a $19 book, the same price as the Cheat Sheet. Anyone who gets a link during the free window keeps it working forever.
Who is it for?
Non-technical operators and small business owners who need to make real decisions about AI this quarter without tracking fifty people's feeds. If you run a business and want the one chapter that pays for the book on its own, start with Chapter 8, the Claim-Scoring Framework.
What's actually inside?
16 chapters organized around themes, not one chapter per person: the AGI-era claim and its 24-hour walkback, the scaling debate, the open-weights retreat, who pays when jobs are at stake, a claim-scoring framework, and a full reference ledger of roughly 150 scored claims in the back matter.
Format?
PDF and EPUB, both included. Your links appear after submitting the form and are also sent by email.
Is this AI-generated fluff?
Every claim in the ledger is traced to a named person, a dated source, and a status (confirmed, refuted, pending, or unfalsifiable). The methodology, its limits, and what could not be verified are stated in Chapter 1 and in the sources section. Where the author holds an opinion, the book says so and gives the reasoning.

Want the prompt reference too? $19 lifetime.

The Cheat Sheet is a different tool for a different job: 120 prompt patterns with worked examples for writing, coding, and decisions.

See the cheat sheetOr the free Claude guide